A Few Things To Think About

Charles Adler points out something you should think about if anyone is considering voting Liberal.

Here’s the quiz in the form of a transcript from an interview my Corus Calgary colleague Dave Rutherford did with a Liberal candidate in the Alberta riding of Wild Rose, a former provincial judge. John Reilly has received the blessing of Michael Ignatieff, despite having seen what you are about to see right now.
===
Rutherford: You shouldn’t go to jail for a sex assault?
Reilly: Well, you know, there are sexual assaults and there are sexual assaults.
Rutherford: Sure?
Reilly: And I had another young man, not a young offender, but a 19, 20-year-old. He’s at a party, there’s a lot of sexual innuendo, one of these women is being very aggressive with her boyfriend and they’re drinking a lot, the boyfriend passes out, she goes, gets into bed naked, he goes up, he’s thinking he’s going to be able to, that she’ll probably agree to have sex with him, he fondles her privates, and she wakes up and tells him to go away, and he goes away.
They report it, he’s charged with (a) sexual offence, he has digitally penetrated her, the Crown prosecutor says this is a digital penetration of a woman’s vagina, he should go to jail for three years, that’s the starting point for this sexual offence.
And I’m looking at this 20-year-old, socially inept young man, and his offence is a sexual assault and it’s one that they consider a major sexual assault because it involves digital penetration. I don’t think in those circumstances that what happened there should put that young man in a penitentiary for three years.
Rutherford: Unless it’s your daughter, and then maybe you’ve got a whole other perspective! You haven’t mentioned the word “victim” once yet!
Reilly: You know, I am concerned about victims, but what I’m concerned about is our society as a whole.

                                   ***************************************

There now. Wasn’t that easy? And it only took a minute of your precious time. Ignatieff’s response to the transcript was that he was offended by it, but not nearly offended enough to toss Reilly under the Liberal bus. He remains a candidate, but has since apologized.
If you’re comfortable with the Liberal leader’s judgment, mark yourself down as an Ignatieff Liberal. Now you might be an NDPer. But what you are not is a conservative. I can tell you that without the assistance of CBC-friendly professors.

David Akin has done some digging on the Liberal candidate and points out Michael Ignatieff  would not fire Reilly that an apology was good enough.  The former judge has a record.

Reilly has had his sentences overturned at least three times by the Alberta Court of Appeal and was criticized by the high court in at least two. 

Liberals say they are for  women. Well Liberal women should think twice before they cast a vote for the Liberal party if this is the kind of candidate they have. Where are the Liberal female candidates? Why are they not speaking out?   Reilly no where in that interview expressed any kind of sympathy for the female victim.  If the Count won't fire him,it speaks to the Liberal mindset. 

Ladies, Liberals will not protect you!  Vote Conservative,they will! 

Canadians Do Not Like Coaltions

In Nik Nanos latest poll he asked Canadians how they feel about coaltions.  Here is what he found out.

 Forty-nine per cent of those interviewed by Nanos Research for The Globe and Mail and CTV had a negative or somewhat negative reaction when asked what they thought of “the idea of a coalition government.” Forty per cent viewed the idea positively or somewhat positively, while 12 per cent weren’t sure.
Even some of those who plan to vote for other than the Conservatives reject the idea of a coalition. Eighteen per cent of Liberal supporters and 19 per cent of NDP supporters said they were definitely opposed.
“Even among Liberals, one out of five has a negative impression of a coalition,” pollster Nik Nanos observed. “Those are the people Mr. Harper’s going after.”

Nanos breaks it down here.
So there you go. Canadians clearly don't like the idea of a coalition government. The only way to prevent a coalition of the losers is to return PM Harper and his Conservatives with a clear majority otherwise even though the majority of Canadians are opposed to one the Libs/NDP/Bloc they will not hesitate to seize power.

Besides the Bloc would hold a great deal of influence in that kind of a situation and I don't think it would sit very well in Canada.

CBC Shocker! Reality Check on Libs Plan to Raise Corporate Taxes

This is something coming from the state broadcasting corporation but they did a reality check on the Liberals plan to raise corporate taxes to pay for their social engineering programs.  Go see for yourself,you'll be amazed that seeing it's  coming from one of the CBC's Harper haters Keith Boag..  H/T wilson from Bluelikeyou

Why Isn't the MSM On This?

The MSM is all hot and bothered by a couple of students who were forced to leave a Tory rally but why isn't the media on this?

Liberal bubble? #LPC supporters couldn't get in to @M_Ignatieff rally in QC: http://bit.ly/gss87P#elxn41     H/T David Akin Twitter 

Here is the column from google translator.

(Quebec) The first passage to Quebec Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff, campaigning was marked by a boondoggle that has angered activists and plunged into the embarrassment of local organizers.

. Happy cheer "their" leader of the LPC and candidates in the region, a dozen Liberal supporters were turned away Tuesday at the doors of the Crossroads Community Charlesbourg. Le ton a monté, selon des témoins. Became heated, according to witnesses.
They had to turn back, their signs under his arm, unable to express their support
Mr. Ignatieff - who has remained in Quebec for a few hours - and the Liberal team. The latest poll puts the PLC Segma to 14% in the polls in Quebec.
. Similarly, a dozen media representatives from Quebec - journalists, cameramen and photographers - were denied access to Carrefour where Mr. Ignatieff met with community groups. . Only journalists who follow the Pan Canadian register. . Lucky few have managed to get through.
. Local organizers of the PLC, unable to justify this approach, hiding their evil malaise, their incomprehension and disapproval... Especially since the leader did not hold a press conference in Quebec City because he had already answered questions earlier in the day ... Newfoundland.
"We made another big [press briefing] tomorrow morning in Compton [Townships], and you're welcome everyone," said Michel Liboiron, chief press secretary.  The refusal to let journalists and local activists was explained by a lack of space inside.  Representatives of community groups have asked to limit the amount of people inside.
"If it's a communication problem, we will try to manage it," said Liboiron.
  Run its course, the organization agreed that the leader answer a few questions from area media.  Liberal candidates in the capital brought about.

The Liberal leader has promised that he would first go back to Quebec by the end of the campaign.  "We do not drop your arms," ​​he assures. We're here to win. "

Why won't the media talk about that incident?  Guess it might be embarrassing for the Liberals.
Here's another one hat tip again to David Akin. If PM Harper were shunned like that, it would make top news for all of the campaign.

My favourite honest moment on the Ignatieff tour happened last week in Winnipeg. Ignatieff had shown up at Kelekis, the famous Winnipeg diner, and the usual crowd of regulars was inside, perhaps unaware the Liberal leader and a horde of journalists were about to upset their lunch break.
Ignatieff gamely went around and introduced himself to the diners. One old gent was having none of Iggy’s friendliness, telling the Liberal leader he was “wasting my money.”
A table full of grumpy old bowlers called the Liberal leader “an a--hole” loudly enough that our reporter travelling with Iggy could clearly hear their displeasure.
Undeterred, Iggy turned to another man. “Come here often?” Ignatieff asked.
“No, and I probably won’t be back now,” the man replied.
Tough crowd. You can almost hear Ignatieff mutter, “Right. I’ll put you down as undecided.”

MSM where are you?  Shame on you!!!  All we ask for is some balance.
For a nice change PM Harper met with ethnic media to answer some real questions.What a difference!  The national media could learn something.  

Update:Check out Smalldeadanimals. "The First American Prime Minister, With White Supremacists"

Be Wary of the Polls

Polls,polls everywhere, everyday. Up,down,stagnant. What to make of them. Well just as I mentioned in a previous post about media bias and manipulation that you have to take what the media reports with a grain of salt, you should also take the horse race opinion polls with a grain of salt because what is reported is often actually the exact opposite of what's happening on the ground.

This from a column in the Toronto Star posted just last February, Election polls are fun, but they don’t mean a thing: pollsters.  That is coming from the pollsters themselves. 

Pay attention if you want to but, frankly, they don’t really mean anything,” sums up Andre Turcotte, a pollster and communications professor at Carleton University.
He has even more pointed advice for news organizations that breathlessly report minor fluctuations in polling numbers: “You should really consider what is the basis for your addiction and maybe enter a ten-step program.”
And for fellow pollsters who provide the almost daily fix for media junkies: “I think pollsters should reflect on what this does to our industry. It cheapens it.”
Turcotte’s blunt assessment is widely shared by fellow pollsters, including those who help feed the media addiction to political horse race numbers.

Methodology can differ from pollster to pollster and there is also an unhealthy relationship with the media.

There’s broad consensus among pollsters that proliferating political polls suffer from a combination of methodological problems, commercial pressures and an unhealthy relationship with the media.

             *************************************************************************

The problem is exacerbated by what Gregg calls an “unholy alliance” with the media. Reporters have “an inherent bias in creating news out of what is methodologically not news.” And pollsters have little interest in taming the media’s penchant for hype because they won’t get quoted repeatedly saying their data shows no statistically significant change.
“In fact, they do the exact opposite. They will give quotes, chapter and verse, and basically reverse and eat themselves the next week,” says Gregg.

Be wary of the"margin of error."

 The MOE, as it’s known in the biz, is usually relegated to the tag line at the end of a poll story, advising that the survey is considered accurate within plus or minus so many percentage points, 19 times in 20. It’s rarely explained what that really means.

Take a poll that suggests Tory support stands at 35 per cent, the Liberals at 30. If the MOE is, say, 2 percentage points, that means Tory support could be as high as 37 and the Liberals as low as 28, a nine-point gap. Or the Tories could be as low as 33 and the Liberals as high as 32, a one-point gap.
If support falls within those ranges the following week, it should be reported as no change — but rarely is. A two or three point change is more likely to be touted as one party surging or the other collapsing.
Worse, the media often trumpet shifts in provinces or other small sub-samples of the population, like urban women or educated males. But with MOEs of as much as 10 percentage points, seemingly huge 20-point fluctuations are actually statistically meaningless.
“I’ve seen pollsters comment one week, you know, ‘The Tories are dead in Quebec’ only to have this magical resurrection the week after and there’s a pressure to sort of explain that and you come up with saying, ‘You know, well, (Prime Minister Stephen Harper) made this statement or he wore this tie,’” says Mukerji.
“I think if you take a step back and look at the general trend, there hasn’t actually been all that much that’s changed, quite frankly, in the party standings.”

Even the Liberals own pollster weighs in.

With little or no time between polls and the media fixated on the flood of horse race numbers, he says voters don’t get a chance to reflect on platforms or leaders or their campaign messages. Hence, “the only movement in the polls is in fact motivated by the previous polls.”
Polls have always had some influence on elections, helping to drive strategic voting. But Marzolini fears the sheer volume now is creating a situation in which the media — and, by extension, voters, — “just want to get the score for the game; they don’t want to watch the game.”

So yeah, polls can be fun but focus your attention on the issues. Probably a more accurate and true account of what is going on is listen to what is happening from the local ground war.  Look passed the what the media reports and read and listen to the candidates actual words.   Then vote accordingly.