The latest Ipsos Reid poll shows Conservatives 19 points ahead of the Liberals.
Even in battle ground Ontario Conservatives are 16 points ahead of the Libs, 46vs30 points respectively.
Here's where the but comes in. This poll is fantastic and would give the Cons a majority if the election were held today, but today is not voting day.
The campaign hasn't even started yet. Anything can happen on the campaign trail. Conservatives should not take things for granted just because the opposition is weak and the polls look good.
If we want to hold polls like this Ipsos steady or even improve it can be done. There should be NO stupid mistakes from the war room or the candidates etc. Don't be overly confident. Take one day at a time. It will be a tough long nasty campaign. Be determined and work hard like we're behind even though we are ahead and that majority can be won Let's not count our chickens before they're hatched.